Sabtu, 29 September 2007

Stocks Slip After Data Released on Consumer Spending, Manufacturing By Joe Bel Bruno, AP Business Writer

NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks dipped Friday, the last trading day of the third quarter, as Wall Street mined mixed economic reports and remained cautious ahead of the upcoming earnings onslaught.

The stock market appeared wary of strong economic news, which could lower the chance of another rate cut. Last week, the Fed helped restore some confidence in the financial markets by reducing the target federal funds rate by a half point.

The Commerce Department said consumer spending increased 0.6 percent in August, the fastest growth in more than two years. Meanwhile, Chicago's National Association of Purchasing Management said business activity in the heavily industrialized Chicago area increased in September by more than analysts expected, and the University of Michigan said consumer sentiment during the month has held steady.

Also weighing on investors Friday was lingering concern that corporate earnings power was lessened in the third quarter. This is the last trading day of one of the most volatile periods in years -- one that pulled stocks sharply lower after the Dow Jones industrial average closed at a record 14,000.41 in mid-July.

Still, though energy and food prices are surging, core inflation appears to be under control, which is keeping rate cut hopes alive. The Commerce Department report showed that a closely watched gauge of core inflation showed a year-over-year rise in August of just 1.8 percent -- the smallest increase since a similar rise in February 2004. The reading is within the Fed's comfort zone of 1 to 2 percent.

"A second Fed cut will go a long way in reassuring the stock market that the worst is over. The focus going forward will be whether the Fed is going to lower rates to shore this up, or decide the risk of inflation is too high," said Janna Sampson, director of portfolio management at Oakbrook Investments.

The Dow shed 15.77, or 0.11 percent, to 13,897.17.

Broader indexes also declined. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 4.14, or 0.27 percent, to 1,527.24, and the Nasdaq composite index fell 6.86, or 0.25 percent, to 2,702.73.

Bonds rose, pushing the yield on the 10-year Treasury note down to 4.54 percent from 4.57 percent late Thursday.

The dollar fell against most major currencies as inflation appeared to be easing. The euro surpassed $1.42 for the first time, hitting a record against the U.S. currency for the seventh straight session.

The dollar's weakness has bolstered commodity prices throughout the quarter, and helped lift prices again on Friday. Crude oil prices rose 45 cents to $83.33 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

"We're going to see crimped corporate profits if they eat those costs, and inflation if they pass those down. Neither of those are good," Sampson said.

In corporate news, shares of 3Com Corp. shot higher after the telecommunications equipment company said it will be sold to affiliates of private equity firm Bain Capital Partners LLC for $2.2 billion in cash. 3Com rose $1.28, or 34.8 percent, to $4.96.

As the tumultuous third quarter draws to a close, investors appear a bit less concerned about the tightening in the credit markets that sent stocks plummeting in late July and August. On Thursday, the Fed said banks slowed their borrowing from central bank this week to the smallest amount in six weeks, after a huge spike last week.

But while most market watchers agree that conditions have improved, the credit markets still don't appear they are back to operating normally. Levels of outstanding asset-backed commercial paper fell about 17 percent in the week ending Wednesday -- not as steep a decline as seen a few weeks ago, but still suggesting that demand isn't meeting supply.

Meanwhile, the bulk of third-quarter earnings start pouring in in mid-October, which should give investors a better idea of how companies weathered the summer's tumult and what they expect in the coming months.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by about 3 to 2 on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 285.9 million shares.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 4.68, or 0.57 percent, to 809.33.

In European trading, Britain's FTSE 100 fell 0.30 percent, Germany's DAX index fell 0.10 percent, and France's CAC-40 fell 0.31 percent.

In Asia earlier, Japan's Nikkei index fell 0.28 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 0.29 percent.

New York Stock Exchange: http://www.nyse.com

Nasdaq Stock Market: http://www.nasdaq.com

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